UFC 311 predictions: Is anyone down with a Moicano upset, or will Makhachev keep flowing?

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The UFC is in Southern California this week for its first pay-per-view of the calendar year with a pair of title fights at the top of the lineup.

UFC 311 (pay-per-view, ESPNews/Disney+, ESPN+) takes place Saturday at Intuit Dome in Inglewood, Calif.

Get main card pick results from our 11 editors, writers, radio hosts and videographers, as well as additional analysis, below.

Kevin Holland vs. Reinier de Ridder

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Records: Holland (26-12 MMA, 13-9 UFC), de Ridder (18-2 MMA, 1-0 UFC)

Past five: Holland 2-3, de Ridder 3-2

Division: Middleweight

Rankings: de Ridder honorable mention

Odds (as of 01.17.25): Holland +105, de Ridder -120

Junkie pick results: de Ridder 7, Holland 4

Jailton Almeida vs. Serghei Spivac

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Records: Almeida (21-3 MMA, 7-1 UFC), Spivac (17-4 MMA, 8-4 UFC)

Past five: Almeida 4-1, Spivac 4-1

Division: Heavyweight

Rankings: Almeida No. 8, Spivac No. 9

Odds (as of 01.17.25): Almeida -485, Spivac +370

Junkie pick results: Almeida 9, Spivac 2

Jamahal Hill vs. Jiri Prochazka

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Records: Hill (12-2 MMA, 6-2 UFC), Prochazka (30-5-1 MMA, 4-2 UFC)

Past five: Hill 4-1, Prochazka 3-2

Division: Light heavyweight

Rankings: Prochazka No. 3, Hill No. 4

Odds (as of 01.17.25): Hill -130, Prochazka +110

Junkie pick results: Hill 6, Prochazka 5

Merab Dvalishvili vs. Umar Nurmagomedov

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Records: Dvalishvili (18-4 MMA, 11-2 UFC), Nurmagomedov (18-0 MMA, 6-0 UFC)

Past five: Dvalishvili 4-1, Nurmagomedov 5-0

Division: Bantamweight

Rankings: Dvalishvili No. 1, No. 12 pound-for-pound; Nurmagomedov No. 5

Odds (as of 01.17.25): Dvalishvili +205, Nurmagomedov -250

Junkie pick results: Nurmagomedov 9, Dvalishvili 2

Islam Makhachev vs. Renato Moicano

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Records: Makhachev (26-1 MMA, 15-1 UFC), Moicano (20-5-1 MMA, 12-5 UFC)

Past five: Makhachev 5-0, Moicano 4-1

Division: Lightweight

Rankings: Makhachev No. 1, No. 3 pound-for-pound; Moicano No. 12

Odds (as of 01.17.25): Makhachev -1200, Moicano +750

Junkie pick results: Makhachev 11, Moicano 0

Preliminary card picks

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Although they don’t count toward the standings, MMA Junkie staff members still pick the fights on the prelims. Here are the results:

  • Raoni Barcelos vs. Payton Talbott: Talbott 11, Barcelos 0

  • Billy Elekana vs. Bogdan Guskov: Guskov 10, Elekana 1

  • Grant Dawson vs. Diego Ferreira: Dawson 8, Ferreira 3

  • Azamat Bekoev vs. Zach Reese: Bekoev 9, Reese 2

  • Ailin Perez vs. Karol Rosa: Rosa 6, Perez 5

  • Muin Gafurov vs. Rinya Nakamura: Nakamura 9, Gafurov 2

  • Bernardo Sopaj vs. Ricky Turcios: Turcios 6, Sopaj 5

  • Clayton Carpenter vs. Tagir Ulanbekov: Ulanbekov 9, Carpenter 2

Check out all the main card picks below.

(Click here to open a PDF of the staff picks grid in a separate window.)

Makhachev

vs.

Moicano

Dvalishvili

vs.

Nurmagomedov

Hill

vs.

Prochazka

Almeida

vs.

Spivac

De Ridder

vs.

Holland

MMA Junkie readers’

consensus picks

4-2

Makhachev

(77%)

Nurmagomedov

(57%)

Prochazka

(75%)

Almeida

(82%)

Holland

(57%)

Matt Erickson

@MattE

4-2

Makhachev

Nurmagomedov

Prochazka

Almeida

De Ridder

Brian Garcia

@thegoze

4-2

2017 Champion

Makhachev

Nurmagomedov

Hill

Almeida

De Ridder

George Garcia

@MMAjunkieGeorge

4-2

Makhachev

Nurmagomedov

Hill

Almeida

De Ridder

Farah Hannoun

@Farah_Hannoun

3-3

2024 Champion

Makhachev

Nurmagomedov

Hill

Almeida

Holland

Nolan King

@mma_kings

3-3

2023 Champion

Makhachev

Dvalishvili

Prochazka

Almeida

De Ridder

Matthew Wells

@MrMWells

3-3

Makhachev

Nurmagomedov

Hill

Almeida

De Ridder

Abbey Subhan

@kammakaze

3-3

Makhachev

Nurmagomedov

Hill

Almeida

Holland

Simon Samano

@SJSamano

3-3

Makhachev

Dvalishvili

Prochazka

Spivac

De Ridder

Danny Segura

@dannyseguratv

3-3

Makhachev

Nurmagomedov

Prochazka

Almeida

Holland

Mike Bohn

@MikeBohn

2-4

2014 Champion

Makhachev

Nurmagomedov

Hill

Spivac

Holland

Ken Hathaway

@1khathaway

1-5

2017, 2022, 2024 Champion

Makhachev

Nurmagomedov

Prochazka

Almeida

De Ridder

For more on the card, visit MMA Junkie’s event hub for UFC 311.

This article originally appeared on MMA Junkie: UFC 311 predictions: Is anyone down with a Moicano upset, or will Makhachev keep flowing?

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